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Risk Assessment Steps for New Investors

Updated on 24 Feb 2020

If personal financial planning helps you set goals, it is important to use the risk assessment steps to chart a course to achieve said goals. The word ‘risk’ always sounds scary but doesn’t need to be. With this article, you’ll have a more detailed understanding of risk assessment and why it is helpful.

Introduction

Portfolio managers use a range of different techniques when it comes to risk management. Some of these include the following:

1.Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)
2. Credit Analysis
Risk Assessment for Investments
Measuring Risk
The Final Word for Investors

Introduction

Risk assessment is an essential aspect of investment as it helps individuals as well as financial advisors determine the overall likelihood of being exposed to losses on any investments, assets or even loans. Therefore, assessing the risk goes a long way in helping investors determine whether a certain investment is even worthwhile, and whether there are steps that can be taken to mitigate the risk in general. Additionally, it also shows investors the rate of return to be expected in order to make the investment a successful one. This step is one of the most crucial ones to be carried out before making any investments.

Portfolio managers use a range of different risk assessment steps when it comes to risk management. Some of these include the following:

1. Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR)

CVaR helps managers quantify the tail risk of any investment. It is calculated by looking at the weighted average of any extreme losses incurred in the tail end of the distribution of returns, after the cutoff point kept in place to calculate the value at risk (VaR). CVaR thus helps with risk management.

CVaR mainly addresses any shortcomings in the VaR model. Though the VaR may be a sufficient indicator of risks when looking at investments that have had a stable run, the model is unable to offer valuable insights for investments that have seen a bit of volatility. Due to this, it becomes quite challenging for advisors to offer astute judgements to their clients. This is where the CVaR model comes into play.

In layman’s terms, VaR presents what would happen in the worst-case scenario. CVaR presents what would happen if the threshold for the worst-case scenario is crossed. In a way, this creates a much better scope for risk management and assessment as one always has an idea of what to expect.

2. Credit Analysis

On the flip side portfolio managers also conduct their share of risk analysis regarding the companies issuing securities by performing a credit analysis. A credit analysis checks whether the company would be able to fulfil its debt obligations as well as the overall level of risk that is associated with investing in that particular avenue. In order to do so, analysts use a variety of tools such as financial projections, trend analysis, financial ratios and even cash flow analysis. They also review the collateral and credit scores.

One of the metrics used to determine the risk associated with investing in a particular financial product is debt service coverage ratio, DSCR, which is the total amount of cash flow that is available to pay any current debt obligations like principals, lease payments and interest. If an entity has a DSCR of under 1, then that means that its cash flow is in negative numbers. For instance, if a company has a DSCR of 0.89, this means that its net income can only pay off 89% of its debts and may just end up leaving its customers in the lurch.

Risk Assessment Steps for Investments

There is no investment product that is without any risk, and this is something that most investors accept when pooling in their funds. However, risk assessment helps them evaluate whether the total risk that is associated with their investment aligns with their risk appetite. An investor that does not want to go for high-risk avenues and would rather have the security of a low-yield security by their side, would be able to make decisions based on the risk assessment provided for different financial products. This can help financial advisors narrow down investment options based on what they know their clients are more likely to choose.

Measuring Risk

One of the most common ways used in order to measure the risk associated with a financial product is through the standard deviation, which measures the total dispersion around a specific performance benchmark. In order to calculate this, analysts look at the average performance of the product, and then calculate the standard deviation from there. If they see a bell curve, it means that the ROI would be as expected, with a standard deviation of 1. In this way, investors can evaluate their risk numerically to know what they can gain.

The Final Word for Investors

One of the most common risk assessment steps associated with a financial product is through the standard deviation, which measures the total dispersion around a specific performance benchmark. In order to calculate this, analysts look at the average performance of the product, and then calculate the standard deviation from there. If they see a bell curve, it means that the ROI would be as expected, with a standard deviation of 1. In this way, investors can evaluate their risk numerically to know what they can gain.

Disclaimer

The materials and data contained herein are for information only and shall in no event be construed as an offer to purchase or sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities in any jurisdiction. Kristal Advisors does not make any representation, undertaking, warranty or guarantee as to the update, completeness, correctness, reliability or accuracy of the materials and data herein. All opinions, forecasts or estimation expressed herein are subject to change without prior notice. Kristal Advisors and its affiliates accept no liability or responsibility whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss and/or damages arising out of or in relation to any use of opinions, forecasts, materials and data contained herein or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

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