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Weekly Feed Mins Read

Kristal Weekly Feed | 16th September 2019

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All you need to know, in under 1 minute.
Here’s a concise report on what made headlines in the global market last week.

Positives

  • The 10-year Treasury note yield recently survives its third test of 1.5% during the recovery
  • Both the Dow and S&P 500 entered trading just below all-time highs on Thursday

Negatives

  • Federal Reserve and global central markets have reached tipping point; say advisors

 

Now, for more detail.

 

Positives

1. The 10-year Treasury note yield recently survives its third test of 1.5% during the recovery

What You Should Know

The benchmark 10 year Treasury note traded around 1.8% earlier this week, signalling the end of the longest bull market that Wall Street has seen. This came on the backs of renewed hopes for a trade deal between China and the United States of America, along with the fact that the European Central Bank’s monetary stimulus.

What You Should Look Out For

Government bond yields around the world have seen a recent upsurge; buoyed by easing economic worries and a ceasefire in the Trump-Xi war. This has also reversed much of the August drop in yields. However, the severity of market moves in either direction highlights how investors are being swayed by emotion and uncertainty over international affairs more than ever. if there was a time to be cautious of making impulse moves; this is it! 

Suggested Reading

 

2. Both the Dow and S&P 500 entered trading just below all-time highs on Thursday

What You Should Know

With President Trump announcing that he would be delaying tariffs on many Chinese goods as a goodwill gesture, stocks futures began climbing high on Wednesday. The tariffs represent an increase to 30% from 25% on USD 250 Billion worth of Chinese goods.

As a result, Both the Dow and S&P 500 entered trading just 1% lesser than their record highs for July, and also finished the day slightly higher, but still a little short of the record. The Dow almost surpassed a record high of 27,398.68 while S&P almost surpassed 3,027.98 points.

What You Should Look Out For

The same sentiments behind the bond rally have helped the Dow and S&P eke out another week of gains. Reports of the retail sector doing well, a slow but steady jobs report, and expectations of a Fed rate cut have helped the indices come close to all-time highs. The September 18 announcement regarding rate cuts will be an important date for all market watchers, and we’ll be watching along with the whole of Wall Street!

Suggested Reading 

 

 

Negatives

1. Federal Reserve and global central markets have reached tipping point; say advisors

What You Should Know

With US Bonds being sold excessively, and the fears of the trade war between US and China abating, investors are now warming up towards ‘safe’ investment avenues, believing that there is not going to be a recession. However, US Financial markets are expecting a cut to a 1.75%-2.0% range from 2.0%-2.25%. Federal Futures Funds rates are down from 90% and are at their lowest trading in a month, even with the easing of market concerns.

What You Should Look Out For

Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer of Bleakley Advisory Group, believes that the recent yield moves may “limit market’s expectations” from the upcoming Fed meeting; however, there are limits to what central banks can do to ameliorate the current economic condition. The European Central Bank has also recently promised to do “whatever it takes” to re-invigorate the Eurozone. However, while the central banks will remain accommodative of economic reforms, the real pressure is on the policy makers to better structural reforms and fiscal policies.

Suggested Reading

Disclaimer

The materials and data contained herein are for information only and shall in no event be construed as an offer to purchase or sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities in any jurisdiction. Kristal Advisors does not make any representation, undertaking, warranty or guarantee as to the update, completeness, correctness, reliability or accuracy of the materials and data herein. All opinions, forecasts or estimation expressed herein are subject to change without prior notice. Kristal Advisors and its affiliates accept no liability or responsibility whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss and/or damages arising out of or in relation to any use of opinions, forecasts, materials and data contained herein or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

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