x

Start investing with a
free Kristal.AI account.

icon

Simple. Secure.

*Error message

Kristal每週回顧|2019年11月04日

486 ViewsNo Comments
featured_img

只有 5分鐘時間? Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球經濟與金融市場的4件大事。

  • 美國聯儲局減息四分一厘,年內第三次減息
  • 美國就業數據強勁,標普和納指同創歷史新高
  • 2019 全球車場整體下滑,電動車持續20% 增長
  • IMF下調了亞洲經濟增長預期,陷10年最低位

1.美國聯儲局減息四分一厘,年內第三次減息

美國聯邦儲備局10月30日公布議息結果,宣布減息四分一厘,為年內第三次減息。聯邦儲備局宣布將聯邦基金利率調低至1.5至1.75厘。儲局公布的議息聲明刪減有關暗示再次減息的字句,未有提到「將會採取合適行動」維持經濟增長,意味官員有意保持利率不變。不過儲局暗示下次議息不會再次減息。

聯儲局亦提到,考慮到全球發展對於經濟前景的影響,加上通貨膨脹壓力減輕,局方採取行動減少借貸成本。

鮑威爾指出,今次減息是一次保險性措施,現行貨幣政策立場仍然合適,除非聯儲局對前景作出實質重估,否則會維持目前的政策立場。全球經濟增長放緩及貿易疲弱構成持續風險,但已經轉向積極方向,當中美國與中國達成首階段貿易協議,若貿易緊張局勢進一步緩和,對企業投資及情緒會有相當積極的影響。

2.美國就業數據強勁,標普和納指同創歷史新高

在美國勞工部公布10月強勁的非農就業報告激勵下,標普500指數在上週六上漲1%至3,066點(今年漲幅達22%),為一週內三度刷新歷史高價,同時也連續四週上漲,創下3月初以來最長上漲紀錄。

美國10月新增12.8萬個就業,略高於預期;失業率微升至3.6%,但仍處於充分就業區間;同時工資同期漲幅達3%,創下連續109個月漲工資的穩定紀錄。

市場原本預期美國10月非農就業人數僅增加7.5萬人,但結果是12.8萬人,大幅超出預期,而且9月新增的就業人數也上升到18萬人,一掃先前經濟學家悲觀預期美國就業市場將受到製造業衰退衝擊的陰霾。這份優於預期的就業報告,加上近日公布的第三季GDP增長率達優於預期的1.9%,凸顯美國經濟在貿易戰的紛擾中依舊表現強勁,一般預料美國家庭將繼續擴張消費,進而推動第四季甚至明年的經濟增長。

3. 2019 全球車場整體下滑,電動車持續20% 增長

汽車工業對全球經濟發展影響重大,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)估計,汽車工業佔全球經濟產值的5.7%、佔世界貿易的8%。然而,繼2018年全球汽車銷售下滑後,2019年、2020年兩年全球汽車銷售可能持續走下坡路。全球汽車總銷量維持在 9,000 萬輛,整體下滑約 4.7%。儘管美國、日本、德國微幅成長,但中國與印度各縮減 10% 使整體呈現衰退。

全球汽車工業飽受多重結構性逆風打擊,造成製造成本升高,銷售卻遭抑制,這正拖慢全球經濟成長。

這反映三股逆風:關稅壁壘推升成本、影響銷售;改用低碳排引擎所費不貲;主要車市已飽和,原因包括人口老化、所得停滯,以及共乘等替代方式興起。電動車則在逆勢中持續成長,銷量有望於 2019 年突破 500 萬輛水平,繼 2018 年後持續保有超過20% 成長率。

4. IMF下調了亞洲經濟增長預期,陷10年最低位

國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)將2019年亞洲經濟增速由5.4%下調至5%,2020年增速亦由5.4%降至5.1%,這將是自全球金融危機以來的最慢增速。國際貨幣基金組織將2019年亞洲經濟增速由5.4%下調至5%,2020年增速亦由5.4%降至5.1%,這將是自全球金融危機以來的最慢增速。

但據IMF指,亞太地區仍是增長最快的地區,對全球增長貢獻超過三分之二,但全球政策不確定性、貿易措施扭曲,以及重要交易夥伴國經濟增長疲弱等,導致亞太地區短期前景正在不斷惡化。

如果想了解更多經濟大事或智能投資的資訊,歡迎隨時聯絡Kristal.AI或在此免費登記我們的服務。

cross
Change your country to India?

You’re now visiting Kristal.AI Worldwide.
To explore diverse offerings in Indian and global products, select India as your country.

ind

India

hkg

Hong Kong

sgp

Singapore

global

Other
Accredited Investor Declaration

This is offered only to Accredited and Institutional Investors as defined under the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“Act”), which broadly comprises of regulated financial Institutions, large corporates, high net worth individuals and sophisticated investors.

An Accredited Investor is an individual
  • Whose net personal assets exceed in value SGD 2 million (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency) with value of his/her primary residence capped at SGD 1 million, or
  • Whose financial assets (net of any related liabilities) exceed in value SGD 1 million (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency), or
  • Whose income in the preceding 12 months is not less than SGD 300,000 (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency)

I agree to opt-in as Accredited Investor and will submit required documentation to confirm the same.

< Back Proceed as Private Wealth

Wealth Management Solutions
Accredited Investor Declaration

This is offered only to Accredited and Institutional Investors as defined under the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore (“Act”), which broadly comprises of regulated financial Institutions, large corporates, high net worth individuals and sophisticated investors.

An Accredited Investor is an individual
  • Whose net personal assets exceed in value SGD 2 million (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency) with value of his/her primary residence capped at SGD 1 million, or
  • Whose financial assets (net of any related liabilities) exceed in value SGD 1 million (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency), or
  • Whose income in the preceding 12 months is not less than SGD 300,000 (or it’s equivalent in a foreign currency)

I agree to opt-in as Accredited Investor and will submit required documentation to confirm the same.

Proceed as Private Wealth

STOCKS

Seamless investing enabled by easy and instant access to a wide range of cross border stocks of acclaimed and high potential companies, handpicked by our expert investment committee.

For investors who desire enhanced returns while co-owning shares of global companies.

*The range of stocks will be made accessible, post login

OVERVIEW

Only the best

A range top performing and high potential stocks carefully selected by our seasoned investment committee

Instant Access

Wide range of global stocks made easily accessible with a single click

Diversity

Companies from varied sectors and fields made available for investment enabling clients to diversify investments and effectively mitigate risks

Innovative

High potential companies leading with disruptive technologies made available to clients enabling them to future proof their investments

THEMATIC STRATEGIES

Enabling clients to invest in trending themes like FAMANGThe FAMANG Kristal invests in Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix and Alphabet’s Google stocks. Assets are carefully chosen by an algorithm in order to deliver a superior returns based on past performance. The strategy is rebalanced every quarter., TECHGlobal Technology ETFs is a genetic algorithmic strategy focussed specifically on the Technology sector., ESGProvides exposure to higher rated environmental, social, and governance (ESG) companies while accessing large- and mid-cap stocks in Europe, Australia, Asia and the Far East., etc. with a single click or just create your own thematic basket.

Future-proof your portfolio and capture emerging investment themes.

*The range of Thematic Strategies will be made accessible, post login

OVERVIEW

Explore and Identify

Select from a range of expertly designed trending and diverse themes

Efficient Execution

Enabling easy exposure to your preferred themes without the hassle and costs of individual security selection and execution

Only the Best

A ready-made collection of Kristals that derive the best of the specific asset class or theme

Unique Mix

An optimised blend of ETFs and individual counters, enhancing efficiency and profitability

Contact our Relationship Manager
ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS

Diversify your portfolio with exclusive Private Equity, Pre-IPO deals, VC Funds & other investments like Bitcoin, Gold, Hedge Funds and many more.

Kristal fractionalizes difficult-to-access deals and opportunities.

View Alternative Investments

OVERVIEW

Instant Access

A wide range of alternative asset classes such as Gold, Bitcoins, Hedge Funds and many more; readily made available

Risk Management

Enables investments in diversified assets hence spreading the risk

Easy Tracking

Enables you to get a consolidated view of investments in all assets at one place, hence facilitating easy monitoring and tracking

Exclusive Deals

Access to exclusive Venture Capitalist, Startup as well as pre-IPO investment opportunities

Low Investment Tickets

Facilitates fractionalization of investments in deals

Contact our Relationship Manager
FUNDS PLATFORM

Professionally managed funds with active investment strategies, screened for you by our investment committee to diversify your portfolio.

Enabling clients to access exclusive investment strategies.

View Funds

View Funds

OVERVIEW

Access

Provides Access to Professional Fund Managers

Low Investment Tickets

Facilitates fractionalization of investments in funds

Diversity

A wide spectrum of investment strategies ranging from Arbitrage to Credit to Hedge Funds and many more

Fees

No additional costs are charged by Kristal.AI

Exceptional Performance

Funds with an impressive track record and potential for high profitability

Leverage

Benefits from insights of the expert selection and advisory team

Easy Management

No time consuming management of portfolios

Contact our Relationship Manager
TAILOR-MADE PRODUCTS

Customize products based on your market outlook and specific needs across equities, bonds, gold and more.

For investors looking to enhance portfolio yield based on market views.

*The range of Tailor Made Products will be made accessible, post login

OVERVIEW

Enhanced Earnings

Structures with potential to enhance portfolio yield based on market movements

Customization

Product features can be designed to articulate investor views

Fees

A flat and transparent fee structure like nowhere else

One-Click Access

A single feature ‘Ideas’ enables you to access recently launched and trending market opportunities

Contact our Relationship Manager
BUILD YOUR OWN KRISTAL

Can’t find what you are looking for? Create your own exclusive investment strategy with risk management & periodic reporting.

For seasoned investors who prefer to design their own portfolio.

OVERVIEW

Empowered Investing

Enables clients to create their own custom portfolio based on their unique needs

Unlimited Choice

Access to all possible exchange traded assets

Flexible Management

Flexibility in delegating the portfolio management role to us or actively taking up the day to day investment decisions, in your custom Kristal

Custom Fee Structure

A simple, transparent and a customized fee structure

Access to Expertise

Custom performance reporting as well as advisory support

Contact our Relationship Manager