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Kristal每週回顧|2019年12月30日

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【財經大事搶先看】 2019年已步入尾聲,Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球經濟與金融市場的4件大事。

  • 美股再創新高,納指首次升穿9000點
  • 脫歐情勢明朗,英、歐股市重振旗鼓
  • 亞洲主要股市個別發展,全周累升21點
  • 貿易戰及脫歐影響 ,英國經濟明年進一步放緩

1.美股再創新高,納指首次升穿9000點

美國電商龍頭亞馬遜表示,今年聖誕銷售創紀錄,在全球賣出數十億件貨品,以及上千萬部亞馬遜自家設備。消息刺激亞馬遜周四股價急升4.45%,是1月底以來最大單日升幅,助納指連升11日,周四首次突破9000點大關。

納指近三分之一的權重集中在五大科技巨頭,分別是微軟(8.8%)、蘋果(8.4%)、亞馬遜(7.1%)、facebook(3.55%)、Alphabet C類股票(3.5%)及A類股票(3%)。這五大企業今年股價大幅上漲。

中美或於短期內簽署首階段貿易協議的樂觀情緒繼續利好市場,加上美國假日零售銷售強勁。週五早盤美股主指交投清淡但均創出盤中新高,道瓊斯指數收報28621點,升105點,升幅0.37%。標準普爾500指數收報3239點,升16點,升幅0.51%。歐洲股市普遍向上,泛歐Stoxx 600指數亦創新高。

2.脫歐情勢明朗,英、歐股市重振旗鼓

歐洲股市跟隨美股步伐創歷史新高,泛歐指數Stoxx 600周五收市報419點,攀升0.21%。中美籌備簽署首階段貿易協議,利好歐股投資氣氛,礦業股上揚超過1%,食品飲品股及健康類股份則跑輸大市。

歐洲股市向好,市場對英國脫歐前景感到樂觀,英國富時100指數連升第11個交易日,

英國富時100指數收報7644點,回升0.17%或12點;德國DAX指數收報13337點,反彈0.27%或36點;法國CAC 40指數收報6037點,微漲0.13%或7點;意大利富時MIB指數收報23757點,回吐0.59%或140點;西班牙IBEX 35指數收報9700點,抽高0.40%或38點。

3.亞洲主要股市個別發展,全周累升21點

亞洲主要股市個別發展,日經指數上週五高開28點後,早市窄幅偏軟,午後沽壓增加,全日跌87點或0.36%,以最低位收報23,837,扭轉上日升勢;全周累升21點或不足0.1%。南韓首爾綜合指數則升6點或0.29%,至2,204點,呈兩連升,高位曾漲17點或0.8%,見2,215點。全周計,微升0.03點。澳洲悉尼普通股指數亦連升兩個交易日,收市升29點或0.43%,報6,936點。全周計,累漲11點或0.17%,為連續3周上揚。

日經指數上週五表現拉鋸,高開28點後,早市窄幅偏軟,半日收市微跌2點,報23,921,半日高低波幅僅67點。美元兌日圓報109.49。

重磅股普遍造好,Z Holdings、軟銀及日本郵政收升1.4%至2.2%,惟日本煙草跌3.5%。主要金融股靠穩,三井住友金融、三菱日聯、野村及瑞穗升0.6%至0.7%。Japan Display漲逾6.8%,傳公司正與蘋果公司(Apple Inc.)及Sharp就出售其Hakusan工廠進行談判,售價預計約為800億至900億日圓。

4. 貿易戰及脫歐影響 ,英國經濟明年進一步放緩

據《彭博》報導,英國第 2 季 GDP 呈季減 0.2%,為自 2012 年底以來首次出現萎縮,而由於第 3 季終值反彈至 0.4%,也使英國得以免於經濟衰退的風險。但根據經濟學家預估,受到全球經濟低迷的影響,英國第 4 季的經濟成長率將會放緩至 0.1%。

投資者憂慮,約翰遜難以如期促成與歐盟的貿易談判協議,英國即使打破脫歐僵局,經濟增長亦只能於短期內維持。

自 2016 年英國宣佈脫歐以來,經濟成長持續呈現放緩的趨勢,再加上中美貿易戰、以及歐洲各國景氣低迷的影響,使英國經濟陷入泥沼。根據國家統計局所公佈的最新數據,英國 10 月份 GDP 成長率更是滑落至 0%。由於英國保守黨於本月大選獲得勝利,稍微紓緩了因政治不確定性及脫歐議題,保守黨承諾將於 2020 年 1 月 31 日脫歐,另外亦會在 2020 年底前與歐盟達成貿易協議的談判。

 

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