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Kristal每週回顧|2019年7月15日

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只有 5分鐘時間? Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球經濟與金融市場的4件大事。

面消息

  • 美國股市回升,接近歷史最高紀錄
  • 澳大利亞的股市接近十年來最高紀錄

面消息

  • 新加坡經濟增速降至十年來最低水平
  • 由於貿易緊張,中國六月份的出口數量下降

現在,了解更多細節

 

1. 美國股市回升,接近歷史最高紀錄

11日美國股市大漲,道瓊工業指數首次站上27000點大關,道瓊和標普500指數均創下收盤新紀錄。

本週,美國股市升至歷史新高。標準普爾500指數突破3000點關口,道瓊斯工業平均指數超過27000點。金融和科技部門領漲,而通訊和房地產部門則落後。

美聯儲主席鮑威爾在國會作證言論,令市場預期美聯儲月底會減息,大市受支持。他認為在全球經濟放緩之際,有降低利率以刺激經濟的空間。財報季即將來臨,公司的季度報告亦將於下週開始。

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2. 澳洲股市創10年新高

今年澳股漲勢已達 18%,創近 10 年新高。

在電信、科技類股的領漲以及降息支撐下,澳洲股市今年仍持續走高。澳洲股市本週上漲接近歷史高點,基準 S&P/ASX 200 指數已飆升超過 18%,為市場挹注 2100 億美元,刷新 10 年紀錄。

隨著澳洲儲備銀行(Reserve Bank of Australia)於六月和七月雙雙降息,澳洲寬鬆的貨幣政策推動股市走高,而且在未來幾個月利息會進一步下降。 這次回升由通信、技術、媒體和金融公司等部門領漲。下個月即將到來的財報會議預計會成為下一個催化劑。

推薦閱讀:

Australia’s $302 billion stock rally nears a record high, but the future is cloudy

 

3. 新加坡經二季度經濟增長降至十年來最低水平

新加坡經濟成長高度仰賴出口貿易,今年第2季GDP卻衰退3.4%,相較於今年第一季成長3.8%,大幅下滑。

根據新加坡貿易與工業部的數據,今年第二個季度,新加坡經濟萎縮了3.4%,國內生產總值(GDP)同比僅增長0.1%,創下自2009年二季度以來最慢增速,遠低於市場預期。

新加坡受到地區經濟放緩和中美貿易戰的雙重影響。該國向亞洲出口高科技產品的供應,因貿易緊張局勢的日益加劇而中斷。疲軟的經濟數據增加了該國在未來放寬貨幣政策的可能性。

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Singapore’s economy experiences slowest growth in a decade

 

4. 貿易摩擦繼續,中國六月進出口大幅下降

中國海關總署12日公布,以美元計價6月出口同比下降1.3%,進口同比下降7.3%,貿易順差1404.8億美元。

由於世界兩大經濟體之間的貿易緊張關係日益加劇,中國出口放緩。根據本周中國官方公佈的數據,以美元計價6月出口同比下降1.3%,進口同比下降7.3%。中國六月進出口都大幅下降,中美貿易戰持續已經對中國經濟發展產生負面影響。

儘管中美貿易談判當前進展良好,但美國已對2000億美元的中國商品上調關稅至25%,對未來出口的負面衝擊不可避免,預計下半年外貿仍會繼續承壓。

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China trade softens in June as US tensions flare

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