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Kristal每週回顧|2020年01月13日

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【財經大事搶先看】 Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧2020年上週全球經濟與金融市場的4件大事。

  • 美勞工部公佈12月就業報告,道指突破29000點
  • 亞洲股市做好,日股升0.4%,澳股續創新高
  • 紐約原油跳漲4%、美股期指下跌
  • 美伊衝突助金價創近7年,新高金價或至1700美元

1. 美勞工部公佈12月就業報告,道指突破29000點

美國勞工部於上週五(1月10日)發出聲明,去年12月份美國增加了14.5萬個工作,失業率維持在3.5%的50年低點。消息發佈後,美股道指盤中一度突破29000點,創下新的高點記錄。國勞工部部長Eugene Scalia指出, 全美創造了14.5萬個就業機會,自2017年1月以來,美國創造了670萬個就業機會。

美國最新就業數據雖然欠佳,但中東局勢未有加劇,道指更首次升穿29000點。

根據勞工部數據,12月的全美失業率保持在3.5%的50年低位。這是失業率連續第22個月達到或低於4%。12月生產和非主管員工的工資平均上漲2.9%,在此之前,員工工資連續17個月同比增長3.0%或以上。受就業數據公佈、美伊局勢略有緩解等因素影響,週五美股道瓊斯指數盤中突破29000點,達成新的記錄。在2017年特朗普任職美國總統以來,道指在三年多的時間裏已累計上漲超過9000點。

2. 亞洲股市做好,日股升0.4%,澳股續創新高

上星期中東地緣政局降溫,美國及伊朗均釋出無意開戰的信號。日經指數自約一個月低位反彈,上週四大幅高開325點後,早市升幅漸擴大,半日升473點或2.04%,以盤中最高位收報23,677。避險情緒降溫,圓匯回落至近兩周低,美元兌日圓升報109.19。

亞洲主要股市反彈,日本日經225指數飆535點或2.31%,報23,739點,高位曾漲562點或2.42%,見23,767點。

重磅股造好,資生堂、大金工業半日升1.1%至1.6%、Z Holdings及軟銀集團分別揚4.6%及5%;另迅銷將於今日收市後公布截至去年11月底止首財季業績,股價半日升1.9%。香港和新加坡股市於上週五收盤上漲0.3%,東京和台北股市皆收高0.5%,首爾股市收漲0.9%,雪梨股市收高0.8%,孟買股市收高0.4%,威靈頓、曼谷和雅加達股市也全數收紅。

3.紐約原油跳漲4%、美股期指下跌

美伊關係上週中期一度再升溫,美國軍方稍早稱其位於伊拉克西部的駐軍基地遭伊朗多枚火箭彈襲擊報復。消息推升國際油價跳漲4%,美股期指則下滑逾1%。

美國股市上週震盪收跌,道指下跌約120點。美國空襲殺死伊朗最高軍事指揮官後,市場仍在評估美伊衝突爆發的可能性及其帶來的地緣政治風險。

國際油價方面,紐約西德州中級原油(WTI)期貨上漲4.43%或2.77美元,暫報每桶65.48美元。布蘭特原油期貨尚未開盤。美股期指方面,道瓊30期貨指數跌逾419或1.47%;標普500期指跌52.87點或1.68%;那斯達克期指跌170點或1.92%。

4.美伊衝突助金價創近7年,新高金價或至1700美元

美伊衝突加劇引發資本市場恐慌,大量資金在避險需求的驅動下湧入黃金市場。上周三,紐約期金曾觸及至每盎司1,613.3美元,為近7年來首次突破1,600美元。新年開始的美伊衝突似乎提示投資者2020年全球面臨的不確定性並沒有減少。

香港金銀業貿易場理事長張德熙認為,中東局勢緊張只是金價向上的其中一個誘因,認為在環球央行低息環境下,加上近期地緣政治風險升溫等因素,推動避險需求上升,料金價在今年步入牛市,短期有望挑戰1,650美元的阻力位。

與此同時,憂慮石油供應受影響,倫敦布蘭特期油短暫升穿每桶70美元。有專家認為,黃金比油價的投資前景更佳,更預期金價可以上望1,700美元。現貨金價周三在亞洲時段最高曾見1,611美元,升2.35%,紐約期金更漲2.48%至1,613美元。據金銀業貿易場網頁,香港999.9黃金合約報每両14,855港元。綜合本港多家珠寶金飾零售商,飾金每両高見17,560港元。

 

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