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Kristal財經快訊|2020年02月10日

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每週財經快訊

Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球金融市場的焦點大事,助您了解國際財經動態,擴大具備市場前瞻性的投資眼界。

總括而言,美國就業強勁增長未能抵消冠狀病毒引發的全球需求擔憂,美國股市上周五下跌,但環顧上周美股整體大漲。另一方面,美國國債收益率下跌,原油期貨收低,金價上漲。

  • 中國調低美國進口商品關稅,刺激美股上漲
  • 中國股票型ETF,上週吸金20.8億美元
  • 紐約期油急挫1.5%,創逾一年新低
  • 投資人擔憂武漢肺炎疫情,亞股多收黑
  • 疫情陰霾下,歐洲股市普遍走軟

中國股票型ETF,上週吸金20.8億美元

儘管新型冠狀病毒疫情持續蔓延,但中國政策與美國經濟數據利多緩和市場擔憂,避險情緒降溫,流入整體股票型ETF的資金大幅增加。依據統計,截至2020/2/7過去一週ETF基金淨流量顯示,整體股票型ETF資金淨流入金額由前週的54.3億美元大增至234.2億美元,其中以美國股票型ETF獲資金淨流入143.3億美元最多,全球股票型ETF獲資金淨流入42.4億美元次之,日本股票型ETF獲資金淨流入20.3億美元,新興市場股票型ETF則為小幅資金淨流入,新興國家中則以中國股票型ETF獲資金淨流入20.8億美元最多。

投資人可趁震盪時分批加碼或以定期定額方式介入,高息資產者首選新興市場當地貨幣債券,股票看好美股、全球股與新興市場股票型基金,或以美國及新興市場股債平衡型基金介入。

富蘭克林證券投顧分析,短期疫情影響貿易、觀光旅遊活動與部分供應鏈生產,全球經濟承壓,但預期在全球央行寬鬆政策與美中貿易局勢改善下,全球經濟將延續溫和成長,風險性資產短線震盪無礙中長期多頭走勢;觀察今年以來許多新興國家已採取降息舉措刺激經濟,中國也設立專項再貸款、提供金融機構向疫情防控重點企業提供優惠利率貸款,政策作多有助扮演下檔支撐。

中國調低美國進口商品關稅,刺激美股上漲

中國國務院關稅稅則委員會宣布,本月14日下午1時01分開始,調低對原產於美國大約750億美元進口商品加徵的關稅稅率。去年9月1日起已加徵10%關稅的商品,加徵稅率調整為5%,已加徵5%關稅的商品,調整稅率至2.5%。除了以上措施外,其他對美國加徵關稅措施會繼續按規定執行,並繼續開展對美國加徵關稅商品排除工作。

美中1月中旬簽署第一階段經貿協議後,美方承諾,將履行分階段取消對大陸產品加徵關稅的相關承諾,實現加徵關稅由升到降的轉變。而中國承諾擴大向美採購。

中國政府決定降低750億美元美國進口貨關稅,以緩和疫情構成的經濟衝擊,相關消息傳出後,激勵全球股市6日盤中走高,美股早盤漲逾百點,刷新歷史紀錄,歐股也創新高。美股三大指數上週四早盤小漲約0.3%,道瓊工業指數一度漲逾百點、再創新高,道瓊歐洲Stoxx 600指數也締造新猷,MSCI亞太指數大漲1.8%,MSCI新興市場指數攀漲1.4%;企業獲利與經濟數據亮眼,再加上武漢肺炎可望出現解方疫苗,也助股市上漲。

紐約期油急挫1.5%,創逾一年新低

武漢肺炎肆虐,投資者擔心拖累全球經濟增長,市場對中國原油需求下降的憂慮趨增,拖累國際油價昨天再度下挫,紐約期油失守50美元關口,創下1年新低。紐約3月期油連跌兩日,收市跌75美仙或1.49%,每桶報49.57美元,是2019年1月7日以來最低水平。倫敦4月布蘭特期油則收報每桶53.27美元,跌1.2美元或2.2%,是2018年12月28日以來最低水平。

作為全球最大的石油消費國,中國正在經受着新冠疫情的打擊,最新數據顯示,疫情造成的死亡人數已超過900人,確診病例則超過4萬人。而本周一開始,在家度春節長假的各方人士應陸續返回工作崗位。武漢肺炎的傳播引發的恐慌心理在很大程度上導致整個國家陷入停頓,許多城市繼續實施旅行限制。石油輸出國組織及包括俄羅斯在內的其他盟國,正在努力尋求一個變通的解決辦法,以應對新冠疫情對能源需求的影響,從而引發了油價下跌。

投資人擔憂武漢肺炎疫情,亞股多收黑

中國昨天稍早公布的通膨數據顯示,1月消費者物價指數(CPI)年增5.4%,為8年多來新高,其中食品價格年增20.6%,反映武漢肺炎疫情對中國國內造成的影響。疫情也造成蘋果供應商鴻海和汽車巨擘豐田(Toyota)等全球大型企業的供應鏈中斷。中國各地重要生產廠房暫時關閉。同時,當局採取封城和隔離措施。

美國上週新申領失業救濟人數創9個月新低,美股三大指數齊破頂,惟亞洲主要股市下跌,日本日經225指數上週五全日收跌45點或0.1%,報23,827點。板塊方面,金融、工業及資訊技術股跌0.4%至0.8%。個股中,本田汽車及川崎重工跌2%至3%。軟銀逆市飆7%。據外媒報道,美國對沖基金Elliott斥資25億美元增持其股份。南韓首爾綜合指數跌15點或0.7%,報2,211點。個股中,三和電子挫近5%,Aprogen製藥跌近4%,三星電子跌逾1%。澳洲悉尼普通股指數跌27點或0.3%,報7,121點。板塊方面,能源及原材料股齊跌超過1%。

疫情陰霾下,歐洲股市普遍走軟

歐洲股市上周五收市由紀錄高位回落,歐洲企業季度業績報告乏善足陳,加上投資者憂慮新型冠狀病毒疫情會對經濟造成損害,引發沽盤湧現。英國,德國及法國股市終止四連升,上日收市全線下跌。在中國有業務的板塊,如基礎材料股,奢侈品股和汽車股是當日跌幅最大的板塊。

根據Refinitiv預估,道瓊歐洲600大企業去(2019)年第四季預期將回升至2.5%,就第四季各產業的獲利成長率預估值來看,科技達到兩成以上。

倫敦富時100指數上日跌穿7500點,收報7466點,跌38點,跌幅百分之0.51。法蘭克福DAX指數上日收報13513點,跌61點,跌幅百分之0.45。巴黎CAC指數上日一度失守6000點關,收報6029點,跌8點,跌幅百分之0.14。道瓊歐洲600指數連續四個交易日急漲14.78點或3.6%後,7日翻空收低1.13點或0.27%,結束四日連漲,收在424.36點,因疫情中國死亡案例攀升至636例,更多企業暫宣佈停在中國的營運。

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