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Kristal財經快訊|2020年02月24日

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每週財經快訊

Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球金融市場的焦點大事,助您了解國際財經動態,擴大具備市場前瞻性的投資眼界。總括而言,武漢肺炎疫情持續,並開始連累環球經濟,Apple營收財測目標可能無法達標。黃金成大贏家,刷新7年高位紀錄。

  • 全球避險情緒升溫,金價刷新7年高位紀錄
  • 中央穩軍心降低企業融資成本,用電成本亦下調5%
  • 蘋果表示第二季營收無法達標、全球 iPhone 供貨受影響
  • 美國歐洲股市普遍收黑,新興市場債券持續上揚

全球避險情緒升溫,金價刷新7年高位紀錄

新冠肺炎疫情或影響全球經濟,避險情緒升溫,黃金現貨金價突破每盎司1,600美元重要關口後如入無人之境,全周漲3.8%,收報每盎司1,643.41美元,創逾七年新高。

追縱黃金價格走勢的黃金交易所買賣基金SPDR Gold Shares,收市報154.7元,升1.5%。

除了受惠避險需求外,中央銀行近期成為黃金的淨買家,是十年首見。截至上周四為止的黃金ETF持創就連增22日,創歷來最長紀錄,連同環球低利率繼續利好貴金屬,都令金價如虎添翼。目前,金市可謂集齊有利條件於一身(低息、疫症、避險、環球經濟陰霾、地緣政治不穩),下個大位1,700美元破關指日可待,當然要挑戰1,800美元甚至2011年新高的1,921美元,現時仍言之尚早。

2. 中央穩軍心降低企業融資成本,用電成本亦下調5%

武漢肺炎上月起在中國大規模蔓延,經濟生產活動大受阻礙,上周中央政府開始要求地方有序恢復生產,並要求實行更積極有為的財政政策和靈活適度的貨幣政策,為復工復產和實體經濟提供協助。人民銀行副行長劉國強表示,人行將加強貨幣信貸支持力度和逆周期調節,以貨幣政策工具降低企業融資成本,並適時調整存款基準利率。

一名戴著口罩的男子走過北京的中國人民銀行總部。(2020年2月3日)
中國最近幾週下調了幾項關鍵利率,包括週四的基準貸款利率,以減輕因疫情爆發而面臨業務嚴重中斷的公司的財務壓力。投資者普遍預計,政府未來幾週將進一步採取支持貨幣和財政的措施。

另一方面,中國將降低企業的電力和天然氣成本,在2月1日到6月30日期間,將把一般工商業及其它電價、大工業電價的電力用戶用電成本削減5%,以減輕因疫情爆發而面臨業務嚴重中斷的公司的財務壓力。中國還將提前實施天然氣淡季價格政策,來降低企業的用氣成本。中央電視台方面表示,這些措施將使企業的電力和天然氣成本減少超過630億元人民幣(90億美元)。

3. 蘋果表示第二季營收無法達標、全球 iPhone 供貨受影響

武漢肺炎疫情延燒,導致主要生產都在中國的蘋果(Apple)預警營收可能無法達標,此消息也導致美股週二開盤下挫,道瓊工業指數下跌超過百點。

由於受到武漢肺炎影響,中國的產品代工生產與運輸受到相當大的衝擊,蘋果也罕見的檢視越演越烈的疫情,並重新調整投資者公開資訊,表示此次的武漢肺炎將對蘋果造成衝擊,預期第二季將無法達到原本預期的營收,同時也會產生全球性的 iPhone 供貨不足,而中國門市暫停關閉與零售量減少將產生重要影響。

蘋果指出,雖然當前合作夥伴的供應鏈已經逐步復工,不過產能比預期的恢復速度慢,這也等於 iPhone 的供貨量也將不足;至於蘋果位於中國的門市將逐漸恢復營業,並設法確保安全與安心。然而蘋果目前仍僅以第二季無法達標作為論述,游於疫情的不確定性,蘋果仍無法推估減少多少營收,部分產品產能可能不如預期,甚至會讓即將推出新品延後上市。

4. 美國歐洲股市普遍收黑,新興市場債券持續上揚

新冠肺炎疫情全球延燒,美國股市反映疫情升溫,過去一週美股高檔震盪。聯準會會議記錄顯示,決策官員認為當前的貨幣政策在一段時間內是適當的,對市場的降息預期潑冷水,衝擊美股四大指數上周五全面收黑,跌幅在0.7%至2.9%之間,以費城半導體指數跌幅2.9%最重。

全球新型冠狀病毒感染人數增加及美國數據疲弱,都利淡歐洲股市氣氛。歐洲股市上周五收市亦全線下跌, 英國、 德國、法國股市跌幅介乎百分之0.4至0.6, 連續第二日低收。相較於股市震盪整理,債券市場則持續上揚走勢,美國公債殖利率大跌,而投資級債、新興市場債與邊境市場債則是持續領先。新興市場債亦呈現上漲態勢,摩根新興市場債券指數近一個月漲幅近2%。

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