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Kristal財經快訊|2020年03月09日

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每週財經快訊

Kristal A.I 為你簡短回顧上週全球金融市場的焦點大事,助您了解國際財經動態,擴大具備市場前瞻性的投資眼界。為了應對新冠肺炎疫情影響環球經濟,美國聯儲局上周突然宣佈減息半厘,刺激美國十年期國債孳息創歷史新低,而美股則大幅波動。在市場避險情緒升溫下,金價於上周五曾造出2013年1月23日以來高位及收市高位。

  • 美國上週大幅上落,短期料續波動惟基本面仍強
  • 美聯儲局減息0.5厘,美股不衝反跌
  • 美國10年期國債收益率跌破1%,屬歷史上首次
  • 金價上周累升6.8%,創2011年10月來最大周升幅

美國上週大幅上落,短期料續波動惟基本面仍強

回顧上周美國股市表現,美股經歷前周連續5個交易日下跌後,上周錄得「過山車」般的大幅波動後,大上大落,美國疫情惡化衝散聯儲局減息及就業報告佳等利好因素。總結上周,美股3大指數結束跌勢,標指升0.6%,納指升0.1%,道指升1.7%。惟以2月中高位計,標指、納指、道指跌幅分別為12.2%、12.5%及12.3%,繼續處於調整區。

以標準普爾500指數舉例,上周首四天均錄得超過2%波幅。根據資料顯示,標普自1927年有統計數據以來,是從未試過一周連續四個交易天錄得上述波幅。標指出現四天有2%波幅的日子,上次是2011年在兩周內發生,當時是受到美國主權評級被調低的消息所影響。同時,道瓊斯指數上周有兩天交易波幅超過1000點,而且是相反方向。展望今周,疫情消息料仍將繼續左右大市;另外,歐洲央行本周議息,歐央會否深化負利率刺激經濟受關注。

美聯儲局減息0.5厘,美股不衝反跌

疫情蔓延之際,市場原本預期,聯儲局將在本月18日的議息會議才減息0.5厘,聯儲局昨晚突然宣布緊急減息0.5厘,令聯邦基金利率區間降至1厘至1.25厘,以應對疫情帶來的日益嚴重經濟威脅。聯儲局對上一次在兩次會議之間緊急減息,是於2008年10月8日,雷曼兄弟倒閉不久減息0.5厘。

聯儲局的聲明稱,疫情給經濟活動帶來了不斷變化的風險,鑑於這些風險,並要支持實現最大就業及價格穩定的目標,因此決定減息。聯儲局主席鮑威爾其後補充,聯儲局看到新冠病毒對經濟前景產生重大影響,認為「經濟前景面臨風險」,因此選擇採取行動。不過減息無助提振大市,道指在重上27,000點後,瞬即倒跌,至零時45分報26,391點,跌311點。

美國10年期國債收益率跌破1%,屬歷史上首次

聯儲局公布減息後,美國10年期國債收益率在3月3日跌破1%,為歷史首次。3月5日,美國30年期國債收益率跌至1.5%下方,美國10年期國債收益率進一步跌至0.899厘,繼此前跌破1厘之後,再見歷史新低。

DoubleLine創辦人傑弗瑞·岡拉克(Jeffrey Gundlach)預計,10年期美國國債收益率可能接近觸底。但由於美國短期經濟增長將受到疫情衝擊,短期國債收益率可能會繼續下跌至零左右。隨著疫情引發人們對經濟持續放緩甚至衰退的擔憂,投資者紛紛逃離股票,湧入債券市場避險。投資者認為,新冠肺炎疫情帶來的經濟影響或遠超預期,導致近幾日風險資產遭到大量拋售,低風險國債受到投資者青睞。

金價上周累升6.8%,創2011年10月來最大周升幅

投資者憂慮2019冠狀病毒病(COVID-19,俗稱武漢肺炎)對全球經濟的打擊,將部分資金轉往避險資產。黃金在息率走低,尤其是步向零息之際,是受歡迎投資選項。

美股上周五大跌、美債孳息率走低,黃金期貨價格本周累升105.7美元,是2011年來最大金額以及最大百分比升幅。紐約4月期金周五一度高見1690.70美元,收報1672.40美元,升4.4美元,或0.3%。金價本周累計升6.79%,升105.70美元,為2011年10月28日當周以來最大的一周升幅。

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