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April 11, 2025
The Lithography Inflection Point - How Two Different Approaches to EUV Could Reshape the Semiconductor Industry
By
Kristal Investment Desk
How controlling the customer experience across gaming, e-commerce, and finance is paying off in Southeast Asia.
In 2017, Sea Limited was primarily a gaming company with an e-commerce experiment and a nascent payments offering.
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Garena, the gaming division, generated $365 million in revenue that year, while Shopee and SeaMoney together contributed just $47 million.
Losses were mounting as the company invested aggressively to build Southeast Asia's digital economy, with many observers skeptical that a gaming company could successfully expand into these adjacent markets.
At the time, the prevailing Silicon Valley wisdom suggested focused companies would win. "Do one thing and do it well" was the mantra.
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Companies that ventured beyond their core competencies were often punished by investors who preferred pure plays with clear business models.
Sea's ambition to build an integrated digital ecosystem across gaming, e-commerce, and financial services seemed unfocused and overly ambitious to many.
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What's particularly noteworthy isn't just the growth but the integration. Sea has built a self-reinforcing ecosystem where each business strengthens the others in ways that standalone competitors struggle to match.
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Sea's approach differs fundamentally from many Western tech companies. Rather than specializing in a single layer of the technology stack, Sea has built vertically integrated businesses that control the entire customer experience.
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๐๐ผ SeaMoney revenue grew 55.4% year-over-year to $733 million, substantially exceeding analyst expectations.
๐๐ผ The digital financial services division now contributes more adjusted EBITDA ($211 million) than the once-dominant gaming division ($290 million) does on a significantly smaller revenue base, highlighting the efficiency of the cross-selling model.
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โ ๏ธ Total adjusted EBITDA reached $591 million, representing 365.3% growth year-over-year.
โ ๏ธ The EBITDA margin expanded to 11.9% from just 3.5% a year earlier.
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This improvement reflects Sea's evolution from a growth-at-all-costs mentality to a more balanced approach. For years, Sea poured capital into Shopee to gain market share, accepting massive losses that were offset by Garena's profits. This strategy required continuous fundraising and left the company vulnerable to market downturns.
The change in approach became evident in late 2022 when Sea began rationalizing expenses across markets where ROI was questionable. Some observers interpreted this as a retreat, but with hindsight, it appears more strategicโa pruning of unprofitable ventures to focus resources on markets where the integrated model was working.
Brazil exemplifies this evolution. Despite MercadoLibre's strong incumbent position, Shopee has achieved positive adjusted EBITDA in Brazil just five years after launch. This suggests the integrated model may be replicable beyond Southeast Asia, contrary to skeptics who viewed Sea's success as region-specific.
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The one area where Sea slightly missed expectations was in gaming. Garena's adjusted EBITDA of $290 million fell 5% short of consensus, and both quarterly active users (618 million vs. expected 634 million) and paying users (50 million vs. expected 51 million) were slightly below projections.
This presents an interesting paradox. Gaming was Sea's original strength, yet it's now the slowest-growing segment with just 1.6% year-over-year revenue growth. However, it remains highly profitable with a 56% EBITDA margin and continues to generate substantial cash that can be deployed to other business lines.
The gaming business also highlights both the risks and advantages of Sea's model. Gaming success tends to be hit-driven and cyclical, with even successful titles eventually declining. Free Fire's "remarkable comeback" mentioned by management indicates that the title has experienced volatility. A standalone gaming company would be significantly exposed to this risk, but for Sea, gaming is now one division among several, providing diversification that pure-play competitors lack.
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Perhaps the most interesting development is the growing importance of SeaMoney. With revenue growing 55.4% year-over-year and a loan book expanding 64% annually, this division is rapidly becoming a cornerstone of Sea's business rather than just a complementary service.
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This mirrors the Alipay-Taobao relationship that proved so successful for Alibaba, but with the addition of a gaming component that provides both additional user data and a high-margin cash generator.
Management's guidance that loan book growth will be "meaningfully faster than GMV" in 2025 suggests they see substantial untapped potential in financial services. This makes strategic senseโbanking in Southeast Asia remains underpenetrated by modern financial services, and incumbent banks often struggle with the technology integration and data analytics capabilities that are Sea's core strengths.
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Sea's Q4 2024 results validate its approach of building an integrated digital ecosystem rather than focusing on a single vertical. The company has transitioned from a gaming company with side experiments to a diversified digital conglomerate where e-commerce generates the majority of revenue, financial services provides the fastest growth, and gaming delivers stable profits.
While the 20% GMV growth guidance for Shopee in 2025 represents a slight deceleration from the 23.8% growth in Q4 2024, it likely reflects a prioritization of sustainable profitability over maximum growth. The "double-digit growth" forecast for Garena's user base and bookings similarly suggests a company focused on balanced expansion rather than hypergrowth.
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For investors, the key question becomes whether Sea's integrated model can continue delivering superior economics as it scales further. The evidence from Q4 suggests it canโthe company is growing revenue at 36.9% year-over-year while expanding margins and turning formerly loss-making businesses profitable.
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Sea's journey from a gaming company with ambitious side projects to a diversified digital ecosystem leader offers an important counterpoint to the Silicon Valley obsession with focus. By building vertically integrated businesses that control the customer experience across multiple services, Sea has created structural advantages that would be difficult for narrowly focused competitors to replicate.
The transition to consistent profitability marks a new chapter for Sea.
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Disclaimer: The views in the post are for for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please contact your RM or Kristal.AI for investment advise.
By
Kristal Investment Desk
March 13, 2025
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April 11, 2025
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